Buffalo has role in mega-storm forecast


Uploaded by WIVBTV on 25.10.2012

Transcript:
METEOROLOGIST DON PAUL.. DON.
THANKS, DON. HURRICANE SANDY HAS
ALREADY KILLED FOUR PEOPLE IN
THE CARIBBEAN.
SOME OFFICIALS ARE PREDICTING
MAJOR DAMAGE AND MONSTER WAVES.
WESTERN NEW YORK IS PLAYING A
KEY ROLE IN TRACKING THE STORM.
OUR TEAM COVERAGE CONTINUES WITH
FOREWARN METEOROLOGIST MIKE
CEJKA.. MIKE.
WE TALK ABOUT STORMS DAILY, SOME
ARE WEAK, SOME STRONG, BUT IT'S
NOT OFTEN THAT ALL THE ELEMENTS
COME TOGETHER TO PRODUCE A MEGA-
STORM. POTENTIALLY, THAT IS WHAT
SOME OF THE EAST WILL BE DEALING
WITH NEXT WEEK.
YOU'VE HEARD ALL THE BANTER
ABOUT A BIG MEGA-STORM. IT'S
HARD TO BELIEVE. TODAY, WE'RE
DEALING WITH RECORD WARMTH, BUT
WELL OVER A THOUSAND MILES AWAY,
HURRICANE SANDY JUST PLOWED
THROUGH CUBA. THAT'S WHERE THE
PROBLEM LIES. THE DAILY WEATHER
BALLOON LAUNCH THAT TAKES PLACE
HERE IN BUFFALO, WILL PLAY A BIG
ROLE IN FORECASTING THIS STORM.
WE'RE ONE OF ABOUT ONE HUNDRED
SITES NATIONALLY. IT'S THE MEAT
AND POTATOES OF THE FORECAST
PROCESS.. BECAUSE OF THE
SEVERITY OF THIS THREAT, THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS
BEEFED UP THE SCHEDULE FROM TWO
TO FOUR LAUNCHES DAILY IN ORDER
TO INCREASE COMPUTER FORECAST
ACCURACY. THAT WHY I CAME OUT TO
THE AIRPORT EARLIER TODAY.
((ONCE WE HIT THE TOP OF THE
HOUR HERE, WE'RE GOING TO LAUNCH
THE BALLOON AND LET IT GO AND
IT'S GOING TO BASICALLY HEAD UP
TO HIT 100,000 FEET IN THE
ATMOSPHERE.)) ON ITS WAY UP, THE
INSTRUMENT PACKAGE ATTACHED THE
BALLOON TRANSMITS VALUABLE DATA
BACK DOWN TO THE GROUND.
((WE'LL COLLECT ALL THE
VARIABLES THAT WE NEED,
TEMPERATURE, PRESSURE, AND IT
ALSO TRIANGULATES WIND, SO WE'LL
GET THE WIND VARIABLES.)) FROM
THERE IT'S SENT TO THE IBM
SUPERCOMPUTERS OUTSIDE OF
WASHINGTON DC. THESE COMPUTERS
PERFORM ALMOST 70 TRILLION
CALCULATIONS PER SECOND.
((ALL THE WEATHER DATA THAT WE
HAVE AVAILABLE GOES INTO WHAT
ARE CALLED COMPUTER MODELS, SO
THE BEAUTY OF HAVING A WEATHER
BALLOON IS IT GIVES US, RATHER
THAN DATA AT THE SURFACE, GIVES
US A THREE DIMENSIONAL DEPICTION
OF WHAT'S GOING ON.)) AS THE
STORM MOVES TOWARD THE
NORTHEAST, THERE IS A GREAT DEAL
OF UNCERTAINTY. OF COURSE THE
4WARN TEAM WILL BE CLOSELY
TRACKING ITS PROGRESS FOR YOU
BECAUSE WE COULD SEE SOME
EFFECTS HERE. DEPENDING ON THE
TRACK OF THE STORM AND HOW COLD
AIR IS DRAWN INTO IT, THERE
EXISTS A POSSIBILITY OF SOME
SNOW, AT LEAST ON THE HIGHEST
HILLS, BUT THAT'S NOT IT...
((WE'RE ALSO CONCERNED ABOUT THE
POSSIBILITY OF HEAVY RAIN
PRODUCING SOME POSSIBLE FLOODING
ON THE AREA RIVERS.))
THERE WILL BE AN EXTRA 586
WEATHER BALLOON SOUNDINGS FOR
THIS WEATHER EVENT. IN ORDER TO
PUT THIS STORM IN PERSPECTIVE,
THE HIGH SEAS FORECAST OFF THE